
The Alberta separatist movement is once again shaking Canada’s political landscape, raising concerns about national unity and foreign influence. As the Alberta Prosperity Project (APP) increases its campaign for independence, Ottawa and Washington are watching closely. What began as a regional protest is now evolving into a diplomatic and security issue with long-term consequences.
Recent reports indicate that APP representatives met with various levels of United States government, including State Department and Treasury officials, to discuss the potential for Alberta’s future following secession from Canada; such subjects included financing and possible routes for exporting alternative energy products via the United States.
Sources also indicate that APP representatives were exploring establishing a large credit facility supported by the U.S. to help facilitate the transition from Canada after successful referendum passage. Under Alberta’s laws, APP representatives must collect approximately 178,000 verifiable signatures by May 2026 in order to obtain a vote on secession.
Growing Support — and Strong Opposition
Federal policies regarding energy, taxes, and the environment have frustrated Alberta for many years. As the largest producer of oil in Canada, Alberta produces over 90% of Canada’s oil reserves and makes significant contributions to the Canadian economy. Residents feel the wealth generated by Alberta benefits Ottawa while restricting the province’s growth.
Polls have suggested that 30% of Albertans are open to exploring separation, but as they learn more about the costs associated with Alberta’s independence (both financially and socially), support drops sharply.
Opponents of separatism have formed groups, including ‘Alberta Proud Forever’, to mobilize thousands in defence of national unity. Many political leaders across Canada have condemned efforts by separatists to communicate with Washington.
Premier Doug Ford of Ontario described these meetings as ‘completely unacceptable’, while David Eby, Premier of British Columbia called them a significant breach of Canada’s national trust.
Ottawa Warns Washington
The Government of Canada has made it clear that the United States must respect Canada’s territorial integrity. Recently, Prime Minister Mark Carney responded to reports of separatists in Canada by urging the US government to recognize and respect Canadian sovereignty while exercising caution to avoid actions that would exacerbate tensions within Canada.
Canada’s territorial integrity is a priority for us. We expect the United States to respect that, said Prime Minister Carney, adding that President Trump has yet to bring up the issue of Alberta separating from Canada in any of his conversations with the Prime Minister.
Although US officials have attempted to diminish the significance of this situation, statements made by senior US officials suggest otherwise. For example, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has referred to Alberta as a “natural partner” for the US due to its extensive energy resources as well as its independent political culture.
Moreover, numerous pro-Trump commentators have publicly discussed potential fragmentation of Canada contributing to the growing uncertainty and sensitivity of the entire matter.
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A Test of the Federalism of Canada
Alberta’s actions have raised the issue of Canada’s federalism once more; many people are asking whether or not the Canadian government is treating different regions equally, as several past situations in Quebec did before when the people of Quebec tried to leave Canada in a very close referendum in 1995.
While it would be inaccurate to say that Alberta is in imminent danger of achieving independence or separation from Canada, through consultation with other nations, Alberta and their leaders have been able to elevate what was once purely a local issue into a potential security risk for Canada on a national level.
Additionally, with strained trade and defense relationships between Canada and the US, the Canadian government has grave concerns that any regional unrest could be used as leverage to extract concessions from them during future negotiations, thus further jeopardizing the political stability of all of Canada.
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