How CivicLens works

CivicLens answers three questions and keeps them apart, because mixing them is how people get misled.

What is on record?

Court judgments, official releases and news, searched in under a second. Each result links to its source.

How likely is it?

A probability that starts from the base rate and moves with the evidence. It is always shown with a plausible range, never as a single confident number.

How sure are we?

A grade for the evidence itself: how many independent sources, how many official, how fresh. Twelve outlets repeating one story count as one source.

What CivicLens cannot do

A headline shows what was reported. It does not show what is true.
The archive holds reported Supreme Court judgments. They are not a random sample of everything the court decides.
A base rate describes cases in general. It does not predict one case.
CivicLens is not legal advice and is not a betting platform. It reads public data and places no bets.

Your privacy

There is no login and no tracking of what you type. Searches run inside your browser against files the site already sent you.

CivicLens is a research project. Corrections are welcome.